If there was-it was masked by the 3 things: reverse bradely effect by white women in the suburbs, high black turnout, the 18-30 vote. It was those three things I believe that gave Obama a 11 point win in Pennsylvania. Without that 3 headed coalition, he would have won slightly like Kerry and Gore did or it would have tilted to McCain. Obama did not carry the 3 or 4 counties in Western PA that Kerry carried-this shows bradely effect, but he gained more in the center of PA and the burbs of Philly!
Bingo!!!
If there was-it was masked by the 3 things: reverse bradely effect by white women in the suburbs, high black turnout, the 18-30 vote. It was those three things I believe that gave Obama a 11 point win in Pennsylvania. Without that 3 headed coalition, he would have won slightly like Kerry and Gore did or it would have tilted to McCain. Obama did not carry the 3 or 4 counties in Western PA that Kerry carried-this shows bradely effect, but he gained more in the center of PA and the burbs of Philly!
i think there is gonna be both , bradley effect and a reverse bradley effect at the same time , so my conclusion its a wash
I honestly see that happening where I am in SW PA. Seriously.
Thanx for the video…Interesting point of view to ponder!